Mr Xi faces a host of problems at home as he arrives in San Francisco

When Xi Jinping stepped off his plane in San Francisco for the Apec summit, it was in circumstances very different to the last time he landed on American soil.

Five years ago, when he was wined and dined by Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago, Mr Xi was in charge of a China still on the ascendancy.

It had a buoyant economy outperforming forecasts. Its unemployment rate was among the lowest in years. While consolidating his power for a second term, Mr Xi proudly pointed to China’s “flourishing” growth model as something other countries could emulate.

By then, cracks were already appearing in what he calls his “Chinese Dream”. They have only widened since then.

One view is that because of this, Mr Xi is in a more vulnerable negotiating position this time, though expectations of major breakthroughs are low.

After an initial bounce back, the post-Covid Chinese economy has turned sluggish. Its property market – once a key driver of growth – is now mired in a credit crisis, exacerbating a domestic “debt bomb” that has ballooned from years of borrowing by local government and state-owned enterprises. Many of these issues could be attributed to China’s long-predicted structural slowdown finally making itself felt – painfully.

In the last two years crackdowns on various sectors of the economy, as well as prominent Chinese businessmen, have caused uncertainty. These have recently widened to include foreign nationals and firms, heightening worries in the international business community. Foreign investors and companies are now moving their money out of China in search of better investment returns elsewhere.

An aerial photo shows a new property under construction in Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province, China, Nov 15, 2023IMAGE SOURCE,GETTY IMAGES
Image caption,

A real estate crisis is one of China’s biggest economic problems currently

Youth unemployment has skyrocketed to the point that officials no longer publish that data. A fatalistic ennui is spreading among young Chinese, who talk about “lying flat” or leaving the country in search of better prospects elsewhere.

Mr Xi is also struggling with issues within his carefully-constructed power structure. The unexplained disappearances of key members of his leadership team and military top brass could be seen as either signs of pervasive corruption or political purges.

Some observers have contrasted China with the US, whose economy has weathered the post-Covid recovery better. Until recently, Americans may have feared the day China would overtake them as the world’s largest economy, but now analysts doubt if this will happen.

China’s current economic challenges will be an “important factor” in Mr Xi’s negotiations and “would lead to a stronger desire to stabilise the economic, trade and investment relations with the US”, Li Mingjiang, an associate professor at Singapore’s S Rajaratnam School of International Studies, told the BBC.

“Mr Xi will want to receive reassurance from Joe Biden that the US will not expand its trade war or tech rivalry, nor take additional measures to decouple economically.” Beijing has complained vociferously about the US imposing tariffs on Chinese imports, blacklisting Chinese companies, and restricting China’s access to advanced chip-making tech.

The fact they are meeting in San Francisco, home of Silicon Valley and the world’s leading technology companies, will not be lost on the two leaders. There is speculation they may announce a working group to discuss artificial intelligence, which the Chinese reportedly hope to use to persuade the Americans not to further extend US technology export restrictions.

With Taiwan’s election round the corner, which has the potential of becoming a flashpoint, Chinese officials have made it clear they want the US to steer clear of supporting Taiwanese independence. But the US has repeatedly emphasised its support for the self-governed island in the face of Chinese aggression and claims over it. Taiwan remains a dicey tightrope for both countries.

US officials are also seeking a resumption of military-to-military communications and Chinese cooperation in stemming the flow of ingredients fuelling the fentanyl trade in the US – and there are already reports that the Chinese will agree to these.

Supporters of Chinese President Xi Jinping gather outside a hotel where the Chinese delegation is staying during the APEC Summit in San Francisco, California, U.S., November 14, 2023.IMAGE SOURCE,REUTERS
Image caption,

Supporters of Chinese president Xi Jinping gathered in San Francisco for his arrival

Chinese state media has pressed pause on the US-bashing, releasing a raft of commentaries extolling the merits of resetting relations and working on cooperation.

There is talk of “returning from Bali, heading to San Francisco”. This is a reference to the last time Mr Xi and Mr Biden met in person – at the G20 Bali summit almost exactly a year ago – which marked a high point in recent US-China relations before plunging to the nadir of the spy balloon incident.

“The propaganda preparations for the Xi-Biden meeting this week are making it clear it is okay to like America and Americans again… I think you could make the argument the propaganda 180 makes Xi look like he is quite eager for a stabilised relationship because of at least economic if not also political pressures,” China analyst Bill Bishop wrote this week.

Mr Xi also appears equally, if not more, keen to woo the US business community.

The BBC understands he will be the guest of honour at a ritzy dinner on Wednesday night organised especially for him to meet top corporate executives. In what could be a sign of his true priorities, Chinese officials had initially demanded the dinner take place before Mr Xi’s meeting with Mr Biden, according to a Wall Street Journal report.

But the Americans should also not expect Mr Xi to be arriving hat in hand and eager to please.

Many believe mutual suspicion will endure and the two leaders will not likely remove existing trade and economic roadblocks put up in the name of national security.

Mr Biden has preserved many of the Trump-era sanctions aimed at China, while initiating and then deepening the chip tech ban. Meanwhile Mr Xi has enacted a wide-ranging anti-espionage law, which has seen raids conducted on foreign consulting firms and exit bans reportedly used on foreign nationals.

The two sides are also likely to not budge on “core interest” issues such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, where Beijing continues to build up its military presence to defend sovereignty while Washington does the same to reinforce its alliances in the region.

Faced with the need to “not appear weak” to the US, Dr Li says, “it’s a difficult balance that the Chinese leadership has to strike – between the objective of seeking a more stable and positive relationship with US on one hand, and also appear to be strong and resilient against some of the American pressures.”

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  63. {Tôi đã cực kỳ hài lòng để tìm thấy trang này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thích từng một chút nó và tôi đã đã đánh dấu trang để xem những thứ mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự biết họ là gì đang nói về trên web. Bạn thực sự nhận ra cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn cần xem điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Tôi đã ngạc nhiên rằng bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn có món quà.|Rất hay bài viết trên blog. Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao trang web này. Cảm ơn!|Thật khó đến những người hiểu biết cho điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một trang web trên internet hữu ích nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị đáng giá bình luận. Không còn nghi ngờ gì nữa rằng bạn cần xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không nói về vấn đề những điều này. Đến phần tiếp theo! Trân trọng.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là quay lại trang web của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp vào hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được 4 email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có một phương tiện bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Kudos.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó sẽ không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc, tuy nhiên tôi thực sự nghĩ có lẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi nghiêm túc nghĩ trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

  64. {Tôi cực kỳ hài lòng khám phá trang web này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thực sự thích từng một phần nó và tôi đã lưu làm mục ưa thích để xem điều mới trong trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự biết họ là gì thảo luận trực tuyến. Bạn chắc chắn nhận ra cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa phải đọc điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Thật ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn có món quà.|Rất hay bài viết trên blog. Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao trang web này. Tiếp tục làm tốt!|Thật khó tìm những người có kinh nghiệm trong chủ đề cụ thể này, nhưng bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một trang web trên internet có chất lượng cao nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một hấp dẫn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi tin rằng bạn nên xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ chủ đề nhưng nói chung mọi người không nói về vấn đề những điều này. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mọi điều tốt đẹp nhất.|Chào buổi sáng! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là quay lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được 4 email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Phải có một phương pháp dễ dàng bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Kudos.|Lần sau nữa Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó sẽ không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Vâng, đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, dù sao thì tôi thực sự tin bạn sẽ có điều gì đó hữu ích để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt khóc lóc về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin rằng trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

  65. {Tôi rất vui để tìm thấy trang web tuyệt vời này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao từng một chút nó và tôi đã đã lưu vào mục ưa thích để xem thông tin mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để tìm thấy một cá nhân mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì thảo luận trực tuyến. Bạn chắc chắn hiểu cách đưa một rắc rối ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa phải kiểm tra điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này câu chuyện của bạn. Tôi đã ngạc nhiên rằng bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn nhất có món quà.|Rất hay bài viết. Tôi chắc chắn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục làm tốt!|Thật khó đến những người có hiểu biết sâu rộng trong chủ đề cụ thể này, nhưng bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một trang web trên web hữu ích nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một cuộc thảo luận thú vị chắc chắn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn cần xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ chủ đề nhưng nói chung mọi người không thảo luận những chủ đề những điều này. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mọi điều tốt đẹp nhất!|Chào bạn! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất to cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là quay lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và từ bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có lẽ có một phương pháp dễ dàng bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Chúc mừng.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó không làm tôi thất vọng nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc, dù sao thì tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt khóc lóc về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin rằng trang web này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

  66. {Tôi rất vui khám phá trang web này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thích thú từng của nó và tôi đã đánh dấu để xem những thứ mới trong trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì thảo luận trên mạng. Bạn chắc chắn nhận ra cách đưa một rắc rối ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn cần xem điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Thật ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn sở hữu món quà.|Rất tốt bài viết. Tôi hoàn toàn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục làm tốt!|Thật khó đến những người hiểu biết về điều này, nhưng bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên internet tốt nhất. Tôi chắc chắn sẽ Rất khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một động lực chắc chắn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi tin rằng bạn nên viết thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng điển hình mọi người không nói về những chủ đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Trân trọng.|Chào buổi sáng! Tôi chỉ muốn cho bạn một rất to cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi sẽ là trở lại trang web của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được 4 email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có một phương tiện bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Kudos.|Lần sau nữa Tôi đọc một blog, Hy vọng rằng nó không làm tôi thất vọng nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc hết, nhưng tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt khóc lóc về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin trang web này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

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