Iceland’s south-western peninsula could face decades of volcanic instability, warns the Icelandic Met Office (IMO).
Earthquakes and fears of an impending eruption have led to the evacuation of the small fishing town of Grindavik.
After an 800-year hiatus, eruptions on the Reykjanes Peninsula began again in 2021, which may mark a new “eruptive cycle”, the IMO’s Matthew Roberts says.
“We expect to see volcanic eruptions along the peninsula, not just repeatedly in the same location.”
This instability, he adds, could last decades.
Dr Roberts, who is a managing director in the IMO’s Rekyavik headquarters, takes us into a room where staff are intensely monitoring seismic activity 24 hours a day.
Last Friday, the team were shocked to realise magma was coursing into the ground, fracturing rock over a distance of 15km (nine miles).
It cut beneath Grindavik “almost like an underground freight train”, says Dr Roberts. A phenomenon unknown in modern times.
The order was quickly given to evacuate, and soon after stark images began emerging of severely cracked roads and damaged houses following repeated earthquakes.
The town will continue to subside, Dr Roberts says, exacerbating damage to buildings and roads.
The western part of Grindavik has sunk by more than a metre (3.3ft) since last Friday, and continues to do so at a rate of about 4cm (1.6in) a day.
A colour map shows the recent levels to which land has collapsed and in one area the situation remains “highly volatile”, with an eruption likely within days or weeks.
If there is an eruption, there could be significant damage to local infrastructure and a release of toxic fumes.
Fascinatingly, aerial photographs suggest that the magma is running underneath a previous, centuries-old, visible fissure.
“The magma intrusion is exploiting this exact same location again,” says Dr Roberts.
Iceland is very used to volcanic activity because it sits over the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. The Eurasian and North American plates are pulling apart from each other, a few centimetres each year.
But this kind of evacuation of an entire community has not happened in 50 years.
In 1973, a fissure started spouting molten red lava on Heimaey, the largest of Iceland’s Westman Islands.
Currently, within the Reykjanes Peninsula, it is estimated that the magma is now sitting about 800m (0.5 miles) beneath the surface.
Residents may have to wait for weeks, at least, before it is clear whether they can return to the area.
“We’re not expecting an explosive eruption,” says Dr Roberts, although that is not necessarily a good thing.
A low-intensity eruption could mean lava pouring from a series of fissures over weeks and weeks.
“If that were to occur there would be lava flow to the south – possibly towards Grindavik – and also possibly north and westwards” towards the Svartsengi power station and Blue Lagoon, says Dr Roberts.
Contingency plans include protective barriers – known as “levees” – which are being built near the geothermal plant while the famous Blue Lagoon spa remains closed.
Iceland has all sorts of ingenious ways to fight lava, says Dr Roberts, but “nature always wins if the eruption is long enough”.
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Virtue, they say, lies in the middle, but who among us can truly say where the middle is? Is it a fixed point, or does it shift with time, perception, and context? Perhaps the middle is not a place but a way of moving, a constant balancing act between excess and deficiency. Maybe to be virtuous is not to reach the middle but to dance around it with grace.
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The essence of existence is like smoke, always shifting, always changing, yet somehow always present. It moves with the wind of thought, expanding and contracting, never quite settling but never truly disappearing. Perhaps to exist is simply to flow, to let oneself be carried by the great current of being without resistance.
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All knowledge, it is said, comes from experience, but does that not mean that the more we experience, the wiser we become? If wisdom is the understanding of life, then should we not chase every experience we can, taste every flavor, walk every path, and embrace every feeling? Perhaps the greatest tragedy is to live cautiously, never fully opening oneself to the richness of being.
Time is often called the soul of motion, the great measure of change, but what if it is merely an illusion? What if we are not moving forward but simply circling the same points, like the smoke from a burning fire, curling back onto itself, repeating patterns we fail to recognize? Maybe the past and future are just two sides of the same moment, and all we ever have is now.
Friendship, some say, is a single soul residing in two bodies, but why limit it to two? What if friendship is more like a great, endless web, where each connection strengthens the whole? Maybe we are not separate beings at all, but parts of one vast consciousness, reaching out through the illusion of individuality to recognize itself in another.
Friendship, some say, is a single soul residing in two bodies, but why limit it to two? What if friendship is more like a great, endless web, where each connection strengthens the whole? Maybe we are not separate beings at all, but parts of one vast consciousness, reaching out through the illusion of individuality to recognize itself in another.
Man is said to seek happiness above all else, but what if true happiness comes only when we stop searching for it? It is like trying to catch the wind with our hands—the harder we try, the more it slips through our fingers. Perhaps happiness is not a destination but a state of allowing, of surrendering to the present and realizing that we already have everything we need.
Friendship, some say, is a single soul residing in two bodies, but why limit it to two? What if friendship is more like a great, endless web, where each connection strengthens the whole? Maybe we are not separate beings at all, but parts of one vast consciousness, reaching out through the illusion of individuality to recognize itself in another.
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Man is said to seek happiness above all else, but what if true happiness comes only when we stop searching for it? It is like trying to catch the wind with our hands—the harder we try, the more it slips through our fingers. Perhaps happiness is not a destination but a state of allowing, of surrendering to the present and realizing that we already have everything we need.
Time is often called the soul of motion, the great measure of change, but what if it is merely an illusion? What if we are not moving forward but simply circling the same points, like the smoke from a burning fire, curling back onto itself, repeating patterns we fail to recognize? Maybe the past and future are just two sides of the same moment, and all we ever have is now.
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